Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.301250 0.358414 0.427582 0.518755 0.637796 0.790906 1.007797
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.217023 0.283508 0.375291 0.516395 0.738076 1.093243 1.755382
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.167899 0.233560 0.332891 0.504014 0.815671 1.421217 2.906574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.142500 0.208561 0.316371 0.521482 0.950080 1.963009 5.383139
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120125 0.182100 0.288797 0.507135 1.014702 2.429111 8.943972
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.106567 0.166859 0.275985 0.515607 1.136348 3.208778 17.451076
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.094454 0.151604 0.259144 0.508991 1.217581 4.002915 33.612124
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.086662 0.142632 0.252233 0.522457 1.369028 5.410283 88.514883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.080919 0.136428 0.249426 0.545080 1.572998 7.706440 384.796122
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075487 0.129916 0.244486 0.560461 1.770370 10.843711 4422.802414
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071057 0.124703 0.241312 0.579995 2.011979 15.960217 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066755 0.119124 0.236162 0.591990 2.240343 23.290047 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062635 0.113510 0.230186 0.600680 2.479531 34.995386 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058478 0.107326 0.221772 0.598736 2.667768 51.130838 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054271 0.100550 0.210739 0.583974 2.764406 69.628061 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051953 0.097700 0.209436 0.605366 3.172764 137.105587 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048466 0.091820 0.199070 0.587916 3.251768 197.319660 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046274 0.088686 0.195731 0.598252 3.616474 432.617006 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043709 0.084423 0.188586 0.590194 3.800949 841.362959 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042094 0.082240 0.187041 0.606613 4.313992 3753.290737 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040886 0.080904 0.187748 0.634260 5.081260 200729.029916 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039523 0.079050 0.186614 0.653103 5.832161 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038357 0.077566 0.186389 0.677084 6.819696 NaN NaN